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Math geekery
Jun. 23rd, 2006 11:01 amThis is freaky: If you have a 97% chance of winning each hand of FreeCell, and you play one hundred hands, you are very nearly as likely to win ninety-eight of them as you are to win ninety-seven!
( The simulation and the math. )
It makes me wonder whether my 97% win rate (over 250 games now) might just indicate a slightly lucky 96% player.
( Let's see! )
So, yeah. It's entirely possible.
If I were to refrain from playing when very tired, or when feeling careless, that score could be higher, of course. At least half of my losses have been from carelessness.
( The simulation and the math. )
It makes me wonder whether my 97% win rate (over 250 games now) might just indicate a slightly lucky 96% player.
( Let's see! )
So, yeah. It's entirely possible.
If I were to refrain from playing when very tired, or when feeling careless, that score could be higher, of course. At least half of my losses have been from carelessness.
