blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
Amid some life stuff, I've found the time to make a major update to my compilations of COVID info.

New material includes but is not limited to: Antivirals; Readimask nose hack link; AirFanta G2 (CO2 detector); more air purifiers; far-UVC (with open questions); links to three more compilations; links to elastomeric mask info and fit spreadsheet; no evidence for nasal spray efficacy; online social support; dating apps; nicotine patches (with caveats & warnings); Patterson (with warnings); Paxcess.

Treatments and preventions for COVID and long COVID.

COVID Resources.
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
I've written a piece about our "excess deaths" due to the pandemic, why they're not counted as "COVID deaths," and why we should definitely consider them part of the pandemic threat. Please spread it around. Thanks.

https://www.blimix.com/covid/excess_deaths.html
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (creek)
(Content note: Pandemic humor.)

I am excited to have finished my most complex video project in quite a while!

Here it is, on three platforms:

https://youtu.be/r_sufYkw6P0

https://www.instagram.com/p/C_8wG7iCnv4/

https://www.facebook.com/blimix/videos/1046940256778355

I'm not here to give you crap. I'm here to save your life.

Huge thanks to all of the friends and strangers who are still doing the right thing! I love you for it.

Some links...

A COVID FAQ with 300 Sources:
https://www.okdoomer.io/a-covid-faq-with-300-sources/

Treatments and preventions for COVID and long COVID:
https://blimix.dreamwidth.org/249645.html

Other COVID resources:
https://www.blimix.com/covid/
blimix: Joe leaning way out at a waterfall (waterfall)
After a one year hiatus, I am making videos again! This is a short and sweet (and incisive) one, as I dip my toe back in.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iZInP3FuGU4

(Content note: Politics, pandemic.)
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
I just want you all to know that it's love. I want you to live because I love you.

On Friday, I lost a friend to a combination of Covid and a cancer which had been caused by his earlier Covid.

I have a lot of friends I can't do stuff with anymore because they've been disabled by long Covid. Sucks a lot more for them, of course.

When I'm upset that you won't put on a mask to save your life, that's not me railing at you. That's me wanting to save your life. That's me begging you not to footrace on a cliff.

Also, please don't ever say, "It's just like a cold now," or any other blatant denialist/apologist lie, in my presence. Thank you.
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
Sorry about the scarcity of public posts! I swear I'm doing stuff with my life other than helping people to not die of Covid. I'm building community, learning to knit, watching "Bridgerton," taking long nature walks, and spoiling the cat.

That said, I did a lot of work yesterday, reading articles/papers and updating my Covid related documents:

Treatments and preventions for Covid and long Covid.

Why people don't wear masks.

Covid Resources.
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
Hi, everyone!

I have put a lot of work into adding many more promising items to my list of treatments and preventions for Covid and long Covid. Check out the updates here:

https://blimix.dreamwidth.org/249645.html

Stay safe!
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
(Content note: Medical.)

I just left the following feedback for a hospital:

Hello. On [date redacted], I was a patient in the radiology department. Hospital staff left an elderly woman on a gurney in the hall for a while. She could hardly breathe due to RSV, and was getting oxygen through a nasal cannula. I stopped to talk with her, to lift her spirits. She seemed to enjoy it. I was glad of my P100 mask: Nobody else was masking around her, and her loose paper mask was off after she had soaked it. Somehow, although I'm used to it, it still amazes me that hospital staff don't care what they're infecting her with, and what she's infecting them with.

It amazes me even more that hospital administration feels that sick and dying staff members and patients are an acceptable price to pay for not having to enforce the wearing of high quality masks. Is [hospital name redacted] suffering from having too many staff, who are available too much of the time?

It seems to me that, even aside from saving their lives, many staff members could benefit socially and psychologically from masking rules. It is clear that many people would like to protect themselves and others by masking, but refrain because they don't want to get dirty looks from fascists for choosing to mask. If they can shrug and say, "It's the rules: I have to wear it," then they can protect themselves and others without having to incur the social cost of choosing to do the right thing.

And, of course, they then wouldn't be killing the nice old lady who can hardly breathe. If that matters.
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)

"Why are most people not wearing masks?"



This is a recurring question among Covid cautious people. It is sometimes an expression of frustration at this massive, unnecessary loss of health and life, and at the astonishing lack of responsibility, or even self preservation instinct, of non-maskers. It is sometimes a question, expressing genuine confusion over the behavior of people who have, in all other aspects of life, behaved with compassion and sense. Often, it is both.

I empathize with the frustration, but no longer share the confusion. These are several reasons that we have abduced1 for people not wearing masks.

1. They're a Nazi/Republican: Eagerly killing people, or just killing people because it's the thing to do.

2. They just can't mask due to injury, pain, skin reaction, breathing issue, etc.

3. They are unaware of the debilitating and deadly risks of infection, and of increased risks from reinfection. Or they mistakenly believe that "low case rate" areas exist in the US (or in other places without mitigations).

4. They have an overriding wish to look and act like everybody else, because that is rule 1 of staying safe in a society dominated by WASP culture.

5. They don't like changing their mind. They feel "consistency pressure" to continue not masking, as though changing a practice would constitute admitting a mistake, which (to immature minds) implies intellectual weakness.

6. They don't want to think that they might have been harming or killing people up to now, so they dismiss all evidence and moral arguments.

7. They are out of "rebellion points". These measure the emotional toll of resisting social pressure. A person could spend rebellion points until it just hurts too much. Until they're too tired. Too burned out. Too beaten down. Or too acutely aware of the cost in social capital.

8. They lack the privilege to withstand the social cost of defying anti-maskers. Fascists are hugely invested in both spreading and downplaying Covid, and, when they can get away with it, will punish those who take safety seriously. Just for masking, a person can lose the goodwill of their family, their friends, their employer, their coworkers, or others whom they depend on. Those who have more financial and social privilege are both more insulated from punishment and in a better position to withstand setbacks. Fear of repercussions might make someone follow the herd even in situations where taking precautions would have been safe.

9. They do not think about the consequences of their decisions. This sounds dismissive, but a large proportion of people act mostly by impulse, even when the stakes are high.

10. The fact that Covid might, or might not, be debilitating/fatal contradicts their existing, incorrect idea that viruses can be sorted into "awful" and "no big deal".

11. People are terrified of the reality that the pandemic exposed: That we are all in grave danger, and that the government had the capacity to protect us but decided not to. They cannot face this. So they pretend they never saw it.

12. Acknowledging the pandemic invites grieving the loss of pre-pandemic life. People may not feel up to this.

Points 4 and 9 are explored in depth here, and tongue-in-cheek here. Point 10 is expounded here.

I've had people (whom I admired) cite reasons such as "I just hate wearing a mask". To me, this doesn't balance against recklessness with other people's lives and health. I hate waiting in line when I'm late for something, but I won't club everyone in front of me so that I can get to the front faster.

As usual, this post is an exploration and explanation, not an attack. If your mitigations are not the same as mine, but you are doing your part to help lessen the risk, I love you for it. If you feel defensive over not doing your part, I'm not the one holding you accountable. Look in the mirror.

Footnote 1. "Abduced" is from "abductive reasoning," which is the thing investigators do, that Sherlock Holmes popularly mislabeled "deductive reasoning".
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
While we have a typical Corsi-Rosenthal box (four furnace filters taped in a cube with a box fan on top), I've just made a smaller and quieter version, to accommodate a smaller space. Although it uses computer fans, I did it a bit differently from the ones already posted online. For posterity (and so you can learn from my mistakes), here is how I made mine. If you're feeling less crafty, Nukit can send you a complete kit for their PC fan CR box (if you're patient with their wait list).

Behind a cut for length. )
blimix: Joe leaning way out at a waterfall (waterfall)
I have pictures of two of my new shirts! Have a look:

https://www.blimix.com/images/Normal_Shirt_Front.jpg
https://www.blimix.com/images/Normal_Shirt_Back.jpg
https://www.blimix.com/images/Joe_Mask_Shirt_08_14_2023.jpg
https://www.blimix.com/images/Mask_Shirt_Hall.jpg

[personal profile] zimarra helped me make them.

The "mask" shirt has a backstory. My friend Aron explained that one cause of anti-masking is health supremacy, a form of ableism. Health supremacists see masking as a sign that the wearer is either vulnerable or sick, and consider both shameful: They show off their confidence in their health by not masking. I conceived this shirt specifically to counteract health supremacists' rationale, and of course to delight in pissing them off.
blimix: Joe leaning way out at a waterfall (waterfall)
I finished the video I've been working on! It's the first in a series about wearing (or not wearing) masks in public. I hope it'll give you a chuckle:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XelseEtdy6Q

(Content note: Rhetorical discussion of suicide.)

Why do videos always take me so long much longer than I think they will? (Besides inertia, perfectionism, scope creep, free time/energy, and the planning fallacy?)
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
I did it! I've just had the key insight that reconciles "everyone we believe to be good people" with "everyone exacerbating a deadly pandemic by behaving incautiously".

It requires some background info, but I'm going to lead with it anyway, so as to not keep you waiting.

The way people make social choices varies in the degree to which those choices are automatic versus considered. This is analogous to how people's immune systems vary in the degree to which they are sensitive to a potential threat.

There is no single "right" place to be on either of these spectra. Advantages can be found in both directions. Automatic social decisions have served most people well, but have failed them at a time when critical thought would have done the job correctly.

On the assumption that you don't study immunology, and/or haven't read Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow, here's the full explanation.

If your immune system is calibrated to respond to just about anything, then it will often get "false positives" when evaluating threats, and wind up attacking your own tissues, creating an autoimmune disorder... But it may also be robust enough to fight off an HIV infection without the help of medication! A less responsive immune system gives a much more relaxed life, without the chronic pain and exhaustion of an autoimmune disorder... Until it fails to fight off a deadly disease. Or, ironically, until you get a disease that gives you an autoimmune disorder. *cough*Covid*cough*

The level of sensitivity of your immune system is a balancing act between making wrong calls in two different directions. Either type of wrong call might be bad, so there's no single "correct" level of sensitivity that works under all circumstances.

Let's move on. Decision making falls into two broad categories: System 1 and System 2, to use Kahneman's terms. System 1 is automatic, effortless decision that comes from instinct or experience. System 2 is deliberate, conscious consideration. Both of these are extremely useful. In a social context, System 1 guides most people in how to make eye contact with a stranger in a park and say, "Good morning". People employ System 2 to face challenges, such as how to deal with a coworker spreading lies.

Sometimes, System 1 is the superior choice. You can use System 2 when saying "Good morning" to a stranger. Some people do. It is exhausting! Engaging System 2 for every social situation uses up a person's mental energy. Doing it all the time can lead to burnout. And in some situations, going with your gut feeling (System 1) will get you the right answer, when your System 2 just cannot fathom how you could know such a thing.

Sometimes, System 2 is the superior choice. System 1 makes people assume that nine-tenths of 110 is 100, until they think about it. System 1 might have you instinctively speak against your coworker and their lies. But then your other coworkers might just see you as getting defensive, and the managers may feel that because you're the one making a scene, you are the problem that they have to deal with. System 2 can help you plan to (depending on your knowledge and skills) win the good graces of your lying coworker, have their lies revealed unambiguously, or talk to Human Resources with the phrase "toxic work environment" to get their attention.

People vary greatly in the degrees to which they employ each of these systems, and even that varies across contexts. An experienced knitter can knit without thinking about it (using System 1), just to keep their hands busy while they watch a university lecture. But that knitter's social anxiety might have them using System 2 to try to read meaning into every social interaction, to figure out where they stand and what they should do.

People who have a great deal of social experience, and who do not have social anxiety, use System 1 for almost every social decision. This is a self-reinforcing pattern: Their willingness to do social stuff without worrying about it leads them to get a great deal of social experience, which in turn makes it easier to do social stuff without worrying about it. Their System 1 gets very good at usually making the correct decisions.

Some people don't conform to that. A "weird kid" with a reclusive childhood may not get enough social experience to use System 1 reliably. Autistic people, people who feel unsafe, and any others who "overthink" have a strong tendency to prefer System 2 to System 1, at least until they are comfortable and experienced with a skill. This can exclude them from the positive feedback loop of just carelessly socializing until they get good at it.

Some circumstances tend to automatically invoke System 1. Those are the ones exploited by salespeople and pundits to keep people away from the conclusions that conscious thought would bring. (See Robert Cialdini's Influence: Science and Practice for more on this.) "Do whatever you see everyone else doing" is an extremely powerful System 1 motivator.

And so we reach the pandemic. The American right wing resisted quarantines, lockdowns, vaccinations, and masks at all opportunities. After the lockdowns and mask mandates ended, if you were a normal person, acting cautiously and just going out occasionally as needed, whom did you see? Right wingers happily wandering unmasked through all public spaces, dining indoors, watching films, and attending crowded concerts. There may have been just as many people who knew better, but we were all staying home! We could speak out online, but we couldn't provide examples of good behavior in public, because we weren't in public.

Two splits happened. First, everyone who relied primarily on System 1 for their social decisions witnessed the largely unmasked public. Without conscious consideration, they did what they saw everyone else doing, because that has always worked for them!

This leaves those who did consciously consider the decision, either because they habitually use their System 2, or because they had a powerful reason such as being immunocompromized or having a vulnerable household member.

That group also split. Lots of us kept our masks and our distance. Some didn't understand the continued risks of Covid and long Covid. Some couldn't or wouldn't bear the inconvenience and isolation, and perhaps lacked the knowledge or ability to get affordable, high quality masks. Some let their fear of looking different outweigh the chance of killing people.

A frustrating and disheartening problem, aside from the pandemic disabling and killing people, is that only the second split was obvious! People have been rightly seeing this as, "We disabled and vulnerable people have been betrayed by a society of abled people who have chosen to murder us rather than wear a mask." Or, "We Autistic people are choosing to do the right thing, at great cost to ourselves, while allistic people will betray humanity for a hamburger." Or, "We who follow the research understand that Covid commonly causes brain damage, organ failure, ME/CFS, and other disabling and deadly conditions, even if it just presents outwardly as a cold. We're spreading the word, and nobody is listening or changing their behavior. Why the hell is nobody listening?"

We all saw the second split: The one where people thought about it, and chose to kill. It wrecked our faith in most of humanity. But we didn't notice the first split. We didn't see people using the system that they had always used to save them the immense trouble of thinking about social decisions: The system that had reliably worked for them in the past, but which was not calibrated to this particular situation, when "do whatever you see everyone else doing" yields the wrong answer.

It's not so much that they made an awful moral choice. They didn't make a choice at all.

This sounds like damning criticism. But remember that it came from where they happen to fall on the sliding scale of "how much to rely on System 1 in social situations". That spot does not have a moral value, good or bad. It often — almost always — works out better than being toward the more deliberately thoughtful end of the scale would. Just like an immune system that isn't always ramped up and trying to kill you, a reliance on System 1 is a good tool; it just happened to be the wrong tool for this circumstance.

I love my friends. I still love my friends who are doing the wrong thing. I think I understand now that it's not so much them betraying us: It is their behavioral habits betraying them.

None of this is to say that we shouldn't feel enraged by those who have thought about it, and still chose to kill, or by those who willfully refuse to hear about the dangers. That is enraging, and ought to be.

Nor does today's insight lead to a solution. Once someone has made a decision, even thoughtlessly, they will defend it, making up retroactive justifications: Both for the sake of their self-image and in order to not appear inconsistent. So we can't change minds just by asking them to start thinking. It will take much more than that. Going with the majority feels viscerally safe to them in a way that masking against an invisible virus does not. Fear of the mob is a powerful weapon of the right wing against everyone, not just against their own. The thoughtless no doubt feel personally attacked after they do exactly what they infer society is instructing them to do, only to have others of us tell them that they have done wrong. If we are treating them so unfairly (they feel), why should they listen to us? I don't know how to help them understand that they should fear Covid more than they fear getting dirty looks from fascists. But we can at least continue setting a good example, including being out in public in an N95 or P100 mask. You never know who just needs a little nudge to help them find courage.

Finally, to my friends and all others who are making the right choice: I appreciate you so damn much. I cannot overstate this. You are why I still have faith.

(Oh yeah, that! Thank people for their caution. Also, to be clear: If you're reading this, we're probably on the same side, whether our levels of precaution are in the top 90th percentile or top 99th. There are lots of valid ways to be cautious. My disappointment is directed only at people who behave like there's no pandemic, like it doesn't matter, or like they want to spread it. None of it is for people who are working hard to not be part of the problem.)
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
Here's a roundup of Covid and long Covid treatments and preventions I've run across. Many of these are difficult to find with just a web search. I update this list as needed.

(For newcomers: Masking in public, and around anyone who isn't Covid-safe, is obviously a given. (I'll get to masks below.) Absolutely nothing listed here is a substitute for masking! We add mitigation strategies together; we do not replace them. I've broken this down into four categories. The top item spans at least three of these.)




There is evidence that certain antihistamines can: Improve Covid outcomes; reduce long Covid symptoms; protect against Covid infection; and increase the efficacy of vaccines while also reducing their side effects.
Treatment: "... immediately begin taking both a h1 (Claritin, Allegra, Zyrtec) and h2 (Pepcid) antihistamine available over the counter as soon as you test positive." More options are given in the article.
The best guess from what evidence we do have says you will most likely get the best results from at least:
* 10mg of cetirizine twice daily
* 20mg of famotidine twice daily

https://synecdochic.dreamwidth.org/805203.html

The article cites several sources. More corroborating sources are here, here, here, here, and here.

I've also read, "Allergist's instruction: Morning: 20mg famotidine, 10mg loratadine; evening: 20mg famotidine, 10mg cetirizine."

This info applies to both MCAS and Covid!

(Note that Pepcid is also an antacid (you'll find it shelved that way at the pharmacy), and can affect your digestion. If you're concerned and just trying to preventatively reduce vaccine side effects, you can skip it and stick with h1 antihistamines.)




On long Covid treatments:

The Visible: Pacing For Illness app is a great help for people suffering ME/CFS, post-exertional malaise, and other symptoms caused by exercise as a result of long Covid. It correlates cumulative heartrate data with how you're feeling, so that you can figure out how much energy you can safely spend before you risk exacerbating your symptoms. It works best with a proprietary armband, but in a pinch can gather pulse data from your phone's camera. It will aid you in functioning and exercising just enough, without overdoing it.
https://www.makevisible.com/

A large increase in electrolytes, including salt, has helped many people who suffer neurological effects of long Covid (tachycardia, neuropathy, dysautonomia, brain fog, etc). This mirrors the increased salt and fluid requirement for sufferers of MS, which also involves demyelination. Damage to the kidneys and GI tract from Covid can also cause fluid and electrolyte disturbances.
https://www.cuimc.columbia.edu/news/what-have-we-learned-about-long-covid
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8060100/

Low dose nicotine patches have shown mixed success. Nicotine can dislodge the SARS-CoV-2 virus from certain important receptors, allowing those receptors to start working again, and allowing those viruses to be cleared from the body. This must be carefully weighed against two issues. First, nicotine is addictive. Second, nicotine can make someone feel more energetic, which can cause a Long Covid patient to accidentally overexert themselves without realizing it, causing a later flare-up or worsening of symptoms. Proceed carefully, and monitor your heart rate. Some people have seen lasting improvement, even after quitting the nicotine. Others have felt better for a few weeks, then returned to baseline.
https://linktr.ee/thenicotinetest
https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s42234-025-00167-8.pdf
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/research/coronavirus/docsum?text=nicotine%20patches

The Patterson protocol is a commercial venture that has helped some people recover from Long Covid, but which overhypes its successes and will continue to string along everyone else, milking patients for money as long as they can. They do seem to be on to something: The basic idea is to use tests to differentiate between Long Covid caused by continuing damage from spike proteins, and Long Covid caused by reactivation of other pathogens such as Epstein-Barr virus. Statins (particularly atorvastatin which crosses the blood-brain barrier) can dislodge cells containing spike proteins from the walls of blood vessels, allowing the body to clear them. Antivirals such as Maraviroc and Truvada are used against remaining viruses. These medications can be had without consulting Patterson; consult your doctor or the Internet. (You may have to educate your doctor (if possible) and ask for a prescription.) Some people do not tolerate these medications well.

Post-Covid recovery clinics that deal in non-pharmacological treatments often emphasize learning to pace yourself, and finding types and amounts of exercise that can build stamina (and stave off the ill effects of being sedentary) without taking it far enough to trigger post-exertional malaise (being totally wiped for a long time after exercise). Puzzles and memory exercises are also used.
https://health.usnews.com/conditions/coronavirus-and-your-health/articles/long-covid-treatments

Old or small results that may need revisiting:

A 14 week course of valacyclovir (an antiviral typically used to suppress herpes) and celecoxib (an NSAID) offered significant improvement to a group of female patients who had had long Covid for an average of two years. The study is based on the hypothesis that dormant herpes viruses inside one's tissues are activated after a Covid infection, causing some long Covid symptoms. Unstated in the article, but common in the literature, is evidence linking symptoms to immune response induced inflammation of neural and other tissues: Presumably hence the NSAID.
https://respiratory-therapy.com/disorders-diseases/infectious-diseases/other-infections/valacyclovir-celecoxib-combo-shows-promise-long-covid-symptom-relief/

Three Florida patients who were given monoclonal antibodies for current Covid cases or exposures suddenly had their already existing long Covid symptoms greatly reduced or completely cured.
https://www.mdedge.com/icymi-covid/article/267176/long-covid/monoclonal-antibodies-new-treatment-long-covid

Eight out of twelve long Covid "brain fog" patients responded well to a combination of guanfacine (an ADHD drug, available by prescription) and N-acetylcysteine (NAC) (available over the counter). The doctor working on this has also seen improvements in individuals with other post-disease (Lyme and MS) cognitive issues.
https://www.yalemedicine.org/news/long-covid-brain-fog-treatment

A combination of particular prebiotics and probiotics alleviated long Covid symptoms in some patients:
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(23)00685-0/fulltext

Microclots (which may affect any organs; lungs and brain/nerves are of particular note here) were treated with anticoagulants in a handful of patients, who were closely monitored for bleeding. Several were helped.
https://www.science.org/content/article/what-causes-long-covid-three-leading-theories

Some folks have been helped by lion's mane mushroom extract. A component of it is shown to help regrow neurons. Two of its components together improved spatial memory and object recognition in mice. (Edit: Many people have had bad reactions to lion's mane! The Lion's mane recovery subreddit warns you to never try it. Until we know a lot more about the likely risks and benefits, I'm going to advise, at the very least, not starting it if you aren't already comfortably taking it long term.)
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jnc.15767

Aderall (an ADHD drug) can help with brain fog.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/long-covid-now-looks-like-a-neurological-disease-helping-doctors-to-focus-treatments/

Some folks report success with anticoagulant dietary supplements. Erin Rackham (who has seen sudden benefits with pain, brain fog, and energy) lists hers: Beet root (2000 mg 2x/day), danshen (salvia root) (1200 mg 2x/day), black pepper extract (10 mg 1x/day), turmeric/curcumin (1500 mg 1x/day), 1 low dose aspirin (2x/day). (I'm out of steam for tracking down the validity of this. It looks like Dr. Keith C. Ellis is selling a related supplement based on so-called "triple anticoagulant therapy," a phrase whose search results are largely medicinal rather than herbal. Anecdotes are no substitute for a study, but it's an accessible intervention to try.)
https://www.tiktok.com/@erinrackham/video/7306518121483914542

The one researcher with an acidosis hypothesis, who supposedly cured herself through a fad alkaline diet and breathing exercises, was not a convincing data point.




On prevention of long Covid:

Many (not all) long Covid symptoms constitute a form of ME/CFS. The ME/CFS community has been clear on the correlation between resting as much as possible during and after the initial illness, and eventually healing from the condition. This is not a perfect correlation: There are no guarantees.
https://www.meaction.net/stoprestpace/

A metastudy found: Initial vaccination reduces the chance of long covid by 19%, over no vaccination. Further vaccination, over just initial vaccination, then further reduces the chance by 23%.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.11.19.24317487v1

Dehydration during the acute phase of Covid is predictive of developing long Covid. Drink plenty of fluids while you're sick.
https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1817150.html

A two week course of Metformin (a cheap diabetes drug), started within the first week of Covid symptoms, has been shown to reduce the chance of long Covid by 42%, regardless of vaccination status. Participants who started earlier did better on average.
https://www.webmd.com/covid/news/20230309/diabetes-drug-helps-prevent-long-covid

(Metformin similarly reduced the incidence of severe outcomes of the initial infection.)




On Covid treatments:

Nasal irrigation is tremendously effective. A study of patients 55 and older using twice daily saline nasal rinses saw hospitalizations reduced from 9.47% to 1.3%, and zero deaths in 79 subjects.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2022/09/220913110403.htm

Take Paxlovid as soon as possible: The sooner you start it, the better it works. Paxcess can help you find a way to pay for it, if needed. Note that Covid rebound happens occasionally, with or without Paxlovid. This study found no notable difference between rebounds after treatment with Paxlovid and with Molnupiravir (which is less effective than Paxlovid):
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.06.21.22276724v1

The probiotic Streptococcus salivarius K12 colonizes the mouth as tablets are slowly sucked and dissolved in the mouth (not swallowed), twice per day. This alters the microbiome in the lungs, improving outcomes in Covid patients. (I have also seen K12 touted as a preventative measure against respiratory infections, but the study described was not cited well enough for me to find it easily. I will gladly accept help here!) Products include ThroatGuard Pro and OralBiotic.
https://www.mdpi.com/2076-2607/10/10/1926

Old or small results that may need revisiting:

A single injection of peg-interferon lambda greatly reduced severe outcomes of Covid-19. (Not yet approved in the U.S. and Canada, as of the 2/8/2023 article.)
https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/new-one-and-done-therapy-can-help-curb-severe-covid-19-infection-canadian-led-study-1.6265716

Among patients hospitalized with Covid, cannabis smokers had better outcomes. (The mechanism has not yet been determined, but cannabis' anti-inflammatory properties seem a very likely candidate.)
https://www.forbes.com/sites/ajherrington/2023/10/13/study-finds-cannabis-users-had-better-covid-19-outcomes/

See here for statements of what not to do.




On Covid prevention:

If possible, don't get Covid. Each additional infection carries additional risk of brain damage, disability, and death. See my safety practices from 2022. (Addenda: I've added the P100 mask to my repertoire since then. Rapid tests have become less reliable. Grocery shopping unmasked has become more unsafe.)
https://blimix.dreamwidth.org/169251.html

Get vaccinated. No matter what you've heard about vaccines, they are tremendously more likely to help you than to harm you. Vaccination will reduce the risk and likely severity of infection, but you still need to layer other protections on top of that, to stay safe. If you want to fine tune your vaccinations for maximum effectiveness, get them every four months. Get a variety of updated vaccines, and get each one twice: The second one helps you produce memory B cells for long term effectiveness. The Moderna and Pfizer mRNA vaccines have slightly higher initial efficacy. Novavax gives longer lasting protection and is much gentler with the side effects. (You can also reduce side effects by hydrating, by moving your arm around a lot, by having a light and early dinner that night (with plenty of upright time to digest before bed), and by using certain antihistamines as described above.) saRNA (or sa-mRNA) vaccines produce a long lasting immune response with a much lower dose. As of late 2024, one (LUNAR-COV19 from Arcturus Therapeutics, effective against many variants) is approved in Japan.

Whenever you are around people who are not Covid safe, use a high quality mask ("respirator") such as N95, KN95, P100, Readimask, etc. Make sure it seals to your face, so that you breathe through it, not around it. Check especially around the straps, your chin, and the sides of your nose. Different masks work best for different faces. Paper/surgical masks, cloth masks, and gaiters provide very little protection. I have info here on masks that fit particular needs:
https://www.blimix.com/covid/

Fresh air is far safer than air that other people have been breathing. Carbon dioxide buildup both indicates stale air and allows the virus to survive longer in acidified aerosol droplets. If you can afford an Aranet4 or an AirFanta G2, it can tell you a lot about the relative safety of indoor air. That said, you can be infected even outside by the modern Covid variants. Avoid crowds and any symptomatic people, and limit face-to-face interactions with strangers.
https://x.com/ukhadds/status/1794819866370969620

High quality air filtration can reduce the amount of virus (as well as allergens, smoke, mold spores, etc.) in the air. Many people build their own Corsi-Rosenthal boxes out of furnace filters (MERV13 or better) and a box fan. These are relatively cheap and highly effective. For smaller and quieter commercial products, you can try Nukit, Clean Air Kits, the AirFanta 3Pro (which collapses for travel), and others. You can bring the AirFanta 4Lite to blow clean air directly at you in spaces too big or too occupied to clean the air for the whole room. Some commercial filters also offer far-UVC to disinfect an area. The efficacy and safety of consumer grade far-UVC has evidence, but is still open to question regarding some products and situations. More on far-UVC. Turn off any ion generators (such as in the Winix C545): Those make ozone, which "purifies" the air but also makes it harder to breathe and can kill pet birds.

Probiotics offer some protection from respiratory infections. An early study on unvaccinated people showed that lactobacillus reduced the chance of contracting Covid after an exposure. The study was smaller and shorter than planned due to vaccines becoming available, so we can't be as sure of the results as we would like.
https://www.futurity.org/probiotics-covid-infection-viruses-vaccines-3011132/

It is possible that vegetarian and flexitarian (only occasional meat) diets reduce Covid incidence. A study found a strong correlation. They adjusted for some risk factors, but correlation is not causation: It could simply be that people who exhibit thoughtful, careful behavior tend to both eat less meat and practice better Covid safety.
https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1744873872942657545

Nasal sprays have been popular. But as of early 2025, the studies that seemed to support their efficacy have turned out to be deeply flawed in ways that undermine their results. We have no good evidence that they are effective either as preventions or treatments. Nor, in many cases, that they are even safe to use. That said, we have known since 2020 that a properly moistened nose is more resistant to infection than a dry nose is. There's nothing wrong with using a regular saline spray. Just don't use it in place of other mitigations.
https://old.reddit.com/r/ZeroCovidCommunity/comments/1iv64oi/there_is_no_convincing_evidence_that_nasal_sprays/
https://www.instagram.com/p/DHuJrTwy_X7/

There is no evidence that using CPC mouthwash will protect you from catching COVID, but it may reduce the chance of you spreading it. Mouthwash containing CPC (cetylpyridinium chloride) inactivates SARS-CoV-2 in saliva, greatly reducing its infectivity. That is, if you have Covid and absolutely must be around other people, then in addition to other mitigations (e.g., masks, fresh air), using CPC mouthwash will reduce the viral load that you're breathing/spitting into the air. (Note that CPC mouthwash will kill off K12 probiotics in your mouth; you'll have to start over. But your lungs will still have whatever beneficial probiotics have colonized them so far.)
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34282982/




I owe unlimited thanks to all my friends who have shared articles, studies, leads, and other info. We are doing our best to save lives.
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
A friend called me from the hospital. He said, "Joe, you were right. You wear an N95, even when it's not required." His coworker had brought in a respiratory illness, and his surgical mask didn't protect him from getting it. Whatever he caught had progressed to pneumonia.

There are three quick things I'd like to note.

* A mix of airborne illness (flu, RSV, rhinovirus, enterovirus, COVID-19) is running rampant throughout the country.

* Hospitals are overwhelmed. The Emergency Department here at Albany Med has been turning sick people away because they don't have the capacity. ICUs are full, and the ones that report empty beds are because they don't have enough staff to attend to those beds, so they can't be used.

* The best estimate is now that 1 in 38 cases of COVID-19 is actually getting reported, because people are testing at home or not at all. If you think you're living in a "low transmission area" in the U.S., you're living in a fantasy.

I'm watching multiple households of my friends get knocked on their asses from RSV and COVID-19. My many friends with long COVID still haven't recovered. It causes brain damage. It makes any exertion treacherous. It compromises the immune system, giving itself and other diseases easier inroads later. That's why we're seeing such a spike in all of them.

How bad are you going to let it get before you join my friend in saying, "Joe, you were right"? Or, "Hey, it looks like the epidemiologists knew what they were talking about when they asked us all to wear masks"? Will you wait until you're pleading to be seen at the hospital? Until a few more loved ones die? Will you wait until you're bedridden and have no immune system left, before you realize that the next infection will be your last, and you join the vulnerable people asking everyone to mask up?

Or will I just cry, "I told you so" from home while your unmasked loved ones give each other deadly diseases at your funeral?




Those of you spreading easily debunked Fox News and Russian mob bot farm propaganda such as "The pandemic is over" will challenge me for a source. So let's jump straight to the one that is least trivial to look up yourself. "A current case detection rate of 1 case per ~38 infections."
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
My neighbors regularly drive drunk.

They know that if someone gets hurt, it probably won't be them. They find this reassuring.

If someone gets hurt, that person has about a 20%-50% chance (depending on the study) to become disabled (often including brain damage); and about a 1% of death. Though, becoming disabled causes people to die younger in this country: It is not a supportive or accommodating place. So the death toll is really much higher than you might think.

My neighbors figure it'll "probably be okay". Each individual time, they're right: It'll probably be okay. They don't worry about the consequences to themselves or others if it this is the time that it's not okay. Around here, there are no deterrents, legal or social. They engage in this behavior every weekend.

On average, it'll probably be years before they directly kill someone. Until then, they and their like-minded friends are leaving a trail of suffering and grievous disabilities in their wake. Of course, my neighbors are not the only ones doing this around here. Not by a long shot. Once you add it all up, this has become an extremely unsafe place to leave the house. By now, a lot of us know people who have been killed by them or by people like them.

I'm curious: What do you think of my neighbors? I'm not judging. I'm asking you to judge. In their shoes, would you do the same?

Take a moment to think about your answer.

...

I just noticed a typo above. Where I wrote, "drive drunk," I meant, "go maskless in public and at parties". My finger slipped. Let me fix that, so we can read it together correctly.

My neighbors regularly go maskless in public and at parties.

They know that if someone gets hurt, it probably won't be them. They find this reassuring.

If someone gets hurt, that person has about a 20%-50% chance (depending on the study) to become disabled (often including brain damage); and about a 1% of death. Though, becoming disabled causes people to die younger in this country: It is not a supportive or accommodating place. So the death toll is really much higher than you might think.

My neighbors figure it'll "probably be okay". Each individual time, they're right: It'll probably be okay. They don't worry about the consequences to themselves or others if it this is the time that it's not okay. Around here, there are no deterrents, legal or social. They engage in this behavior every weekend.

On average, it'll probably be years before they directly kill someone. Until then, they and their like-minded friends are leaving a trail of suffering and grievous disabilities in their wake. Of course, my neighbors are not the only ones doing this around here. Not by a long shot. Once you add it all up, this has become an extremely unsafe place to leave the house. By now, a lot of us know people who have been killed by them or by people like them.

I'm curious: What do you think of my neighbors? I'm not judging. I'm asking you to judge. In their shoes, would you do the same?

Take a moment to think about your answer.
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
People whose politics are literally defined by fear mock good people for "living in fear" during a pandemic. Right now, the thing they *should* fear is that when they inevitably get disabled by long COVID, society will treat them every bit as cruelly and negligently as they themselves are currently treating others.
blimix: Joe on mountain ridge with sunbeam (Huckleberry Mountain)
I know an astonishing number of people suffering from dysautonomia and tachycardia. I learned some stuff from this article (maybe y'all know it already): Mostly about the importance of distinguishing between tachycardia from POTS and from an adrenaline surge, because those are dealt with differently. I wish the tips didn't start with exercise, because I think everyone's getting inundated with, "Have you tried exercise?" (I've been guilty of this too. Sorry!)

On the subject of not-exercise, I've read the "I rested my way to recovery from long COVID" essay, and it's tempting to put stock in it, but there was nothing to distinguish that method of recovery from regression to the mean. That is, the author might have just gotten better in time, regardless. Or they might have had a better chance to recover because their life was privileged enough to allow them to rest. This is why we need data from controlled studies.

Edit: While we lack controlled studies, we may as well pay attention to experts and anecdotes suggesting rest.
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
Edit: In the time since April 2022, some of the following has become charmingly anachronistic. I will perform an update at some point. The most important updates for 2023 are: A healthy, vaccinated person can wait five days after a potential exposure (not 12) to be pretty sure they're okay. The new variants are so virulent that the 90/10 rule should now, at the very least, consist of masking around any crowds (indoor or outside) for even brief visits; masking indoors in public always; and avoiding extended periods with indoor crowds (or wearing a P100 if you cannot avoid them). Rapid tests peak in sensitivity four or five days after symptom onset (in vaccinated people).




Deciding on personal COVID safety practices, in the absence of reliable guidance, is difficult. Often, individual circumstances must be judged on a case-by-case basis, and the felicific calculus (a tongue-in-cheek term for the vague but difficult math that goes into finding the best course of action) gets intricate. Actual risk management math involves making educated guesses for things about which we lack hard numbers.

That said, it is absolutely essential to work it out anyway. If my actions get me infected with COVID-19, and I pass it on to someone who passes it on to someone else, who gets disabled or killed by it: THAT'S ON ME. I will be morally culpable for that result. I will not destroy my fellow human beings' lives that way. That ought to go without saying, but, well, *gestures around*. It needs saying.

Even if one were perfectly selfish and "low risk," the mathematically illiterate public has confused a "greatly lowered personal risk" conferred by vaccination with a "negligible risk".

Put it this way: In terms of just personal risk, getting COVID-19 is like falling off a stoop onto the sidewalk. You might be sore for a week. You might break your arm. You might suffer a permanent, crippling injury. If you're particularly unlucky, you might hit your head and die. Getting vaccinated is like wearing a helmet. You've just made it much safer to fall off the stoop. Does that actually mean it's safe to fall off the stoop? Of course not! You can still break your arm or shatter your hip, and maybe die if you land particularly badly.

Getting vaccinated, and also taking really good precautions, is like walking down the steps from the stoop to the sidewalk. That changes the risk in both cases from "What the hell do you think you're doing?!?" to "Safer than my morning commute" (which is not to say, "perfectly safe").

Here's my set of general precautions. Your circumstances may alter these in either direction.

* No time spent in public, indoor places without a high quality mask. (N95 for me, but if your KN95 fits really well, cool. No cloth masks. I bought a box of 50 N95 masks for $40 including shipping, and rotate through eight of them, giving each one at least a week to dry out and let germs die. I gave out several to coworkers and the folks I support. Eighty cents each is a very small price for keeping people safer!)

* Yes, this means no eating inside restaurants. (If there is really good ventilation from windows/doors, and there is no crowd, and I have a further compelling reason ("I miss restaurants" doesn't count), I might consider making an exception. But I think the last time I did that was before Delta, in an empty restaurant, and I put my mask back on whenever the waitstaff approached.) Takeout and outdoor dining are vastly safer.

* No time spent indoors in a crowd. (I just nope out of there.)

* Minimize time spent indoors near coworkers, strangers, and anybody else whom I do not know to be practicing good safety measures.

* Use windows for ventilation whenever I am stuck inside with people outside of my household or social bubble for an extended period. No matter how good my mask is. (Some of my coworkers complain when I do this at staff meetings in the dead of winter. I give zero foxes, they suck it up, and the room warms up once everyone's there. I've also convinced the managers to follow my lead on this.)

* Confer with those in my social bubble about risky behavior. Avoid "unprotected" indoor time with them for twelve days if they did something I consider very risky. If they travel to visit people they know, I ask them to check in three days after returning: If none of their contacts are symptomatic, they're probably safe, and I resume contact. (The contagious period typically starts no more than 2.7 days before symptoms.)

* Keep my social bubble small. Violate it with unmasked indoor time only rarely, and only with people whom I know and trust, in the smallest possible groups. Prefer redundant connections (such as a recent contact of someone else in my bubble), as they represent less added risk than entirely fresh connections.

* Avoid touching high-touch surfaces (such as door handles) in public places. Wash or sanitize hands if I must touch them (as at an ATM or gas pump). Do not trust myself to remember not to stick a finger up my nose or rub my eye in the next half hour.

* When considering any exceptions to my rules, carefully weigh the expected risks and benefits. (e.g., I took a slight risk, by babysitting, to help loved ones in a crisis.) If I temporarily increase my own risk, work to decrease my risk of infecting others.

* Always respect and match the protocols of those who are practicing more caution than I. (e.g., If they mask outdoors, then I mask outdoors when with them.)

* Understand that other people have different needs, circumstances, and access to information.

* Amplify the voices of those vulnerable people who are begging everyone to behave more safely. Continue to listen to them.

* Express my displeasure with those who threaten the lives of my loved ones by not taking COVID-19 seriously.

To be clear, if you're already someone I trust to make good decisions, this is not me judging you. Your situation is your own to judge. This is me providing social proof, in a world where we go out and see mostly bad decisions, because often the best thing to do is to stay home.

Addenda )
blimix: Joe by a creek in the woods (Default)
This is a rough the final draft of a letter that I am sending throughout my workplace. Feel free to share it at yours. I'm also open to suggestions. My aim is to usefully educate and persuade.




Subject: Let's save some lives.


Hi all,

As we start to reopen some departments, I want to make sure to get critical safety information out to everyone. Most of us are too swamped to spend the time and effort to stay current on the research ourselves, and the official government channels on which we usually rely have proven insufficient.


By now, we're all familiar with social distancing and masks. But those are not enough when spending extended periods in indoor places with stale or recirculating air. If you have to meet in parson for more than a few minutes, the most effective thing you can do is to be outside or to ventilate the room with plenty of fresh air from open windows or doors.

https://www.icpcovid.com/sites/default/files/2020-08/Addressing%20airborne%20transmission%20Morawska%20CID%20July%202020.pdf


I cannot stress the importance of fresh air enough. Even though crowds and loud vocal noises (such as singing or yelling) are among the highest known risk factors, there has been no correlation of COVID-19 spikes with places where people have been gathering outdoors, with masks, for the largest protest in history.

https://www.healthline.com/health-news/black-lives-matter-protests-didnt-contribute-to-covid19-surge
https://www.nber.org/papers/w27408.pdf


I can't believe I have to say this, but the sheer number of people I've seen doing it is staggering: Wearing a mask below your nose is as effective as wearing your pants around your ankles. Anyone who does this is needlessly endangering others and themselves. Masks are there to block droplets carrying viruses, on the way to and from your lungs. Breathing around the mask defeats the purpose of having a mask. Do your best to eliminate gaps, so that your breathing goes through the mask, rather than around it. (I like to clip the ear loops to each other behind my head. It makes the mask more snug, and is more comfortable for my ears, too!)

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/08/well/live/coronavirus-face-mask-mistakes.html


"It's okay, I'm not sick" is no excuse for unsafe behavior. Typically, you will start showing symptoms 5 to 12 days after your exposure. (In rare cases, this incubation period could be as few as 2 days, or as many as 14 or more.) You don't know if you are sick! People who "feel fine" are causing super-spreader events. Every interaction that I have with my coworkers, with the folks I support, and with the public carries the knowledge that I might already be infected and presymptomatic. I take whatever steps I have to, to minimize the risk of spreading the disease, just in case I am sick and don't know it. I do this for all of us. I hope you will, too.

https://www.webmd.com/lung/coronavirus-incubation-period


Temperature is a poor indicator of this disease. You can have COVID-19 without a fever, and lots of people do.

https://bgr.com/2020/04/27/coronavirus-symptoms-fever-might-not-always-appear-study-says/


"I'm following the CDC recommendations: Six feet or a mask. Isn't that enough?" No, not when it might get people killed. Consensus in the research community is that the CDC and the WHO are not staying up to date and are, in their advice regarding airborne transmission of COVID-19, failing to account for infectious microdroplets that are known to hang suspended in the air for hours.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/04/health/239-experts-with-one-big-claim-the-coronavirus-is-airborne.html


The following video by pulmonologist Mike Hanson is an illustrative compilation of things we need to know:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xJ4Epf8i1uk


To better understand the transmission risk factors and save lives, a well researched and clearly written article on the subject is here:

https://www.erinbromage.com/post/the-risks-know-them-avoid-them

The takeaway quote: "Social distancing guidelines don't hold in indoor spaces where you spend a lot of time, as people on the opposite side of the room were infected. The principle is viral exposure over an extended period of time. In all these cases, people were exposed to the virus in the air for a prolonged period (hours). Even if they were 50 feet away (choir or call center), even a low dose of the virus in the air reaching them, over a sustained period, was enough to cause infection and in some cases, death."


If you, or someone you can talk to, is in charge of building maintenance, please take into account the conclusions from this article, whose advice about schools can apply to any building:

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/07/why-arent-we-talking-more-about-airborne-transmission/614737/

The relevant quote:

---

Teaching could move outdoors, at least some of the time, the way it did during the 1918 pandemic. Moreover, even when indoors or during rainy days, opening the doors and windows would greatly improve air circulation inside, especially if classrooms had fans at the windows that pushed air out.

When windows cannot be opened, classrooms could run portable HEPA filters, which are capable of trapping viruses this small, and which sell for as little as a few hundred dollars. Marr advises schools to measure airflow rates in each classroom, upgrade filters in the HVAC system to MERV 13 or higher (these are air filter grades), and aspire to meet or exceed ASHRAE (the professional society that provides HVAC guidance and standards) standards. Jimenez told me that many building-wide air-conditioning systems have a setting for how much air they take in from outside, and that it is usually minimized to be energy-efficient. During a pandemic, saving lives is more important than saving energy, so schools could, when the setting exists, crank it up to dilute the air (Jimenez told me that Shelly Miller, a fellow professor at the University of Colorado specializing in indoor air quality, persuaded the university to do just that.)

---

While I'm on the subject, here are a few other things to know:


Rashes resembling frostbite (a.k.a. "COVID toes") may be a symptom, especially in younger people who are otherwise asymptomatic or presymptomatic.

https://www.health.com/condition/infectious-diseases/coronavirus/covid-toes


So can stroke, heart attack, and cardiac arrest:

https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1617381.html

"Stroke can be the first sign of COVID-19 in otherwise asymptomatic or barely-symptomatic young (20-50yo) people WITHOUT stroke risk factors. If you are having stroke symptoms - slurred speech, confusion, drooping face on one side, trouble moving one limb – go to the hospital immediately."


Whether or not you have become sick, please stop taking any cough medicine containing dextromethorphan:

https://siderea.dreamwidth.org/1620157.html



Please be safe, everyone.

Thanks for your time,
Joe Levy
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